2020 US Presidential Election: Trump Holds Slight Edge Over Harris in Swing States - BTIG Analysis
The US presidential election race is still up in the air, but analysts from BTIG believe that Donald Trump has a slight advantage over Kamala Harris in key swing states. Recent polling data shows that Harris has gained favorability with voters after a recent debate, but fundamental factors like the Electoral College outlook are in Trump's favor.
Both candidates need at least 270 electoral votes to win, and Trump and Harris are expected to secure around 200 votes each. States like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Georgia will be crucial in determining the final outcome.
According to BTIG, Trump is leading on the economy and immigration, which are the top issues for swing state voters. However, Harris is closing the gap on the economy and plans to focus on housing affordability and childcare costs to win over voters. She maintains a lead on other important issues like abortion, healthcare, democracy, and senior services.
With weeks to go until the election, the analysts caution that opinion figures could change, and swing state polls have a margin of error. They predict that Republicans will take control of the Senate, but acknowledge the uncertainty of political predictions.
In conclusion, this analysis highlights the current state of the US presidential race and the factors that could influence the outcome. Voters should pay attention to how the candidates address key issues like the economy, immigration, healthcare, and more as they make their decision in November.