Germany's AfD Party Gains Blocking Minority in Two Regions - What Does This Mean for Democracy?
By Thomas Escritt
After securing the second spot in the Brandenburg state vote and winning the Thuringia state election, Germany's far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party now holds a blocking minority in two regions.
Understanding the Significance of a Blocking Minority
In Germany, certain crucial decisions such as amending the constitution or appointing key bodies require a two-thirds majority. On the flip side, a party that can gather one-third of the votes in parliament can possess a blocking minority.
The two-thirds majority rule was established to prevent a single party from taking over the state and enforcing sweeping changes. This rule was influenced by the Nazis' rise to power in 1933.
Where Does a Two-Thirds Majority Matter?
In Thuringia, a two-thirds majority is necessary for appointments to the state Constitutional Court, the committee appointing judges, and the committee overseeing security services.
In Brandenburg, a two-thirds majority is required for selecting new Constitutional Court judges or altering the state constitution.
Impact of the AfD's Blocking Minority
AfD leader Bjoern Hoecke has expressed intentions to use the blocking minority to prevent other parties from excluding them from power. The AfD has been accused of using legislative and judicial tactics to stall state institutions.
Potential Consequences of a Blocking Minority
The first critical appointment requiring a two-thirds approval is the replacement of a Constitutional Court judge in Thuringia. If replacements cannot be appointed due to delays, justice may be significantly delayed.
Consequences Beyond the Judiciary
Delays in rulings could reinforce the perception of a stagnant state in need of radical change, benefiting the AfD. These issues could impact voters nationally ahead of next year's election.
Possible Solutions
On a national level, efforts are being made to prevent parties with authoritarian agendas from disabling the Federal Constitutional Court. In Thuringia and Brandenburg, state politicians may need to negotiate with the AfD to navigate this situation.
Legal experts are exploring emergency measures, such as delegating federal judges and courts to cases in Thuringia, to address the challenges posed by the AfD's blocking minority.
Analysis:
The AfD's recent gains in Brandenburg and Thuringia have implications for democracy in Germany. The party's blocking minority could disrupt critical appointments and lead to delays in the judicial system. This could exacerbate the perception of a dysfunctional state in need of change, potentially influencing voters nationally. State politicians and legal scholars are exploring strategies to navigate this situation and prevent long-term consequences on German democracy and governance.